It’s time to predict the new categories coming in August based on the preliminary category changes found here: https://members.marriott.com/tophotels/?scid=b7452ffa-9078-4bc1-a4c9-451f3971b51a
Shown are 91 venues, a mix of MR, SPG, and RC hotels. Using an SPG “conversion” of 3X points = 1 MR point, I have converted all venues into a Marriott Point Equivalent (MPE). Using the MPE, 44 venues actually go down in the number of points, 1 stays the same, and 46 go up in the number of points.
Because one can “lie with statistics”, let’s start with a misleading statement: the percentage of venues going up is 50.55%, going down 48.35%, and 1.10% remain unchanged. Sounds pretty good. However, looking at each current category and how those are categorized after the merger completes, is another story. Let’s look at the table:
If a venue is currently in these categories, then the points go up (orange):
4, 6, 7, 8, 9, SPG-2, SPG-3
Those that are essentially unchanged are (yellow):
SPG-5 & RC-3
The “winners” are those that go down in points (green):
5, RC-5, SPG-6, SPG7
Assuming the above category changes are sweeping across all of the existing Marriott categories, this will have the biggest "inflation rate" on category increases since I have been tracking annual category changes since 2009.
UPDATE 2018-05-07 - - - HUGE Pivot table error; ignore the above tables and comments. I even changed the subject of this post!
The data below is accurate - - 25 up, 58 down, 8 same when using the mid-point average of the range for SPG points and a 3X conversion to MR points.
|Up/Down||Count of Hotel Name||Sum of Old Category Points||Sum of New Cat Points|