Are you ready to be driven to and from the airport in an Uber self-driving vehicle? If no, why not?
I tend NOT to be an early adopter of new technology. It doesn't happen often, but every once in a while my GPS takes me to the wrong place. I have seen GPS devices show that a bridge exists when one really doesn't. I'd be afraid that my self driving car might decide to take a short cut right down a boat ramp into the water...Then the last thing you hear your self driving car say is OOPS!
We need a brave insider to try and report back
@jerryl Are you volunteering... ?
Now that is very funny! Difficult not to laugh out loud... I think I would be very uncomfortable in a self-driving vehicle... but that just shows I'm on the other side of twenty something...
GPS still tells us to turn left into a brook near our home. And it tells people not familiar with the area to turn onto a snowmobile trail and they do it anyway (no common sense there since there is a posted sign). I'm with you, mustanggt!
sledchick "Recalculating ... recalculating ... refrubarabing ... glub ... glub ... ssssssss....."
Self-driving cars? Not just "no," but "Oh, hail no!"
Maybe when I'm 70!
I’ve been watching the development of self driving and electric cars for a decade now. The perfect storm is coming for the current cars, especially in high density areas like Western Europe and Americas Eastern seaboard. Electric Uber for your same-city journeys, hybrids for longer. The drivers (exclude the pun) are cleaner cars, cleaner air, and for the road-building and road-maintaining state, saving money. Lots of money. Saving money is particularly prevalent in countries with socialised healthcare systems where the medical costs of road traffic accidents fall mainly onto the state. Done properly these should reduce accident rates by over 90% and the savings to healthcare will be enormous. Expect to see these on European roads by 2020, in routine usage by 2025 and using your driving license to actually drive a vehicle on the public highways to be illegal by 2030.
Expect car ownership to plummet. Many people will just use Uber-type services. Higher mileage individuals who drive more than 10,000 miles a year will join carsharing clubs with monthly fees but low mileage costs. Finally a few very high milers, maybe 30,000 miles per year may still choose car ownership, though they’ll still not be driving it themselves. Expect the loss of a lot of jobs, lorry drivers, taxi-drivers, Uber-drivers, well any job with the title “driver” except maybe fork-lift driver. Since these cars will be owned by taxi companies or car clubs, these cars won’t park, they’ll just go from ride to ride, so no more city parking lots, no more traffic wardens nor since the self-driving car won’t break the law, traffic cops, defence lawyers and judges. This will close a lot of local courts, have a look in your local press at the court reports, the petty criminal sessions are all speeding, no insurance, unroadworthy, untaxed, drug or drink driving, broken up by the occasional shoplifter and bike-stealer. Far fewer car sales to individuals means far fewer dealerships and with no real secondhand market for these vehicles, no more secondhand car salesmen! No more traffic lights, roadsigns or the multiplicity of road markings that help us understand priorities, nor the jobs for those that make them. Self driving cars will drive closer together and communicate so the tarmac space will get used more efficiently meaning no more road building will be needed to increase capacity, it’s already built in by replacing human drivers. Of course there’ll be new jobs in the new auto-taxi business as these will have to be kept immaculately serviced and tested. Buying, cleaning, replacing and logistics jobs will replace some of those lost. Medical professionals will have to change their trauma skills but with an aging population they should find work easy enough to get.
In 1900 London was worried it was sinking into a pit of horses effluence. Estimating models indicated enormous rises in horse drawn transportation over the following three decades and long term planning was underway to cope. Nobody was planning for the car but by 1930 there was nary a horse drawn carriage to be found in London. Or New York, or Paris. We stand on a similar precipice but as the buyers of the new cars will be in the hands of big business we can expect the switch from driven cars to driverless ones to be far faster than the switch from the horse to the horseless carriage.
I believe this will come to pass over time, likely in affluent countries, whereas “poor” countries will still have real drivers (unless the cost really comes down for producing self-propelled cars, like if Tata makes them).
Nice prescience, I believe. Good job brightlybob
I see these often in Tempe, AZ where they are being testing (among other places). From what I have read, the tests are going well.
I read somewhere that a self driving car entered a roundabout and just kept circling around until it ran out of power. Turns out this car had a "rotary" engine!
In my opinion, self-driving vehicles won't go mainstream for individuals, but the demand will continue to grow in mass transportation sector as its application brings value to the greater economy as a whole. Commuter trains and airlines use fly-by-wire (FBW) systems to manipulate transport with the token figurehead conductor/pilot or two to operate a reduced number of manual procedures. Automation statistically is safer than conventional manual methods as the possibility of operator error is substantially reduced when the human element is removed or managed, therefore improving overall safety, consistency and quality of experience. Just by sheer numbers, introducing the general populous to manage this technology on their own will increase the risk of failure exponentially. AI technology is widespread in the industrial sector with regards to production facilities (aka smart factories). Both my parents were machinists, their benches lined up in a neat row amongst their fellow machinists. Now you'd be hard-pressed to find a single machinist toiling away on a part to fit a lathe. The symbiotic relationship between automation and the efficiency of managing processes has phased out the manual to drive increased revenue. The automation model isn't as applicable with multiple variables...people are the variables in this equation and as soon as the self-driving vehicle fad wears off like VR goggles, marketers will find other market disruptors for the early adaptors to buy into. That said, if one of the Google cars pulls in my driveway, I'd hope right in, but don't count on me to buy one.
Retrieving data ...